Ray Malone's Commentary

Well the spin is out... Hillary wining one more of the battle ground states by 65 to 30 doesn't mean a thing. All those Hillary voters who knew very well that Hillary cannot win the nomination, were voting for Hillary now, and will vote for Obama later. It was under no circumstances a message to the Democrats of DON'T NOMINATE OBAMA.... NAH it couldn't be!!!

I would just like to ask you if the situation were not Hillary Vs Obama but Huckabee Vs McCain and Huckabee won Kentucky by 65 to 30... What do you think the media would be saying?

Listen to what they say when Huckabee gets in the low twenties against McCain's high 70s. . "This does not bode well for McCain!", the pundits say. But it don't mean a thing when Hillary whips Obama's rump 65 to 30 in Kentucky after doing the same a week earlier in West Virginia.

Do any of you remember a hit song Bobby Bare recorded in the 60s? It was about a southern man who is working in Detroit and wants to go back home to the south where he grew up. The songs title was "Detroit City". It was a multimillion seller, because half of Michigan could relate to it.

We used to joke that West Virginia and Kentucky took Michigan with out firing a shot. And anyone who knows the people of West Virginia and Kentucky as I do knows that over half the Hillary voters here are not voting FOR HILLARY. They are voting AGAINST OBAMA.

Over and over I see Democrat analysts and even Republican ones such Karl Rove miss what is going on. They think the difference between Hillary and Obama is about the same as the difference between Gary Hart and Walter Mondale in 1984. But it isn't. Try convincing a majority of voters in Ohio, Michigan, Kentucky, West Virginia, Pennsylvania and Florida that a man with three Muslim names i.e. Barrack Hussein Obama, isn't a Muslim and you might just as well try to convince them that Jesus Christ is not a Christian. They ain't gonna believe you.. And they are not going to vote for Obama. Their reasoning is "HE AIN'T ONE OF US!!!!"

Obama got 30 percent of the Democratic vote in the Kentucky primary. What do you think he will get in the general election? How about 35 percent. He may get 40 percent in Michigan, 40 percent in Ohio, and 45 in Pennsylvania, and Florida.. But Barrack is going to lose those battle ground states. Iowa is not a replacement for Pennsylvania.

In a majority of the battle ground states McCain will win by at least 10 points. He will win another 20 percent of the battle ground states by 3 to 5 points. He will lose the remaining by 1 or 2 points. Why? Because White Working Class Democrats are not going to vote for him. PERIOD.

Democrats had best hope that they vote for McCain. Yes I said Democrats should hope that those white working class Democrats vote for McCain?

If they don't vote for McCain a great many of them are so disgusted with the media and the politics they won't vote at all. As we get closer and closer to this fall the lack of intelligence and experience of Obama will scare the heck out of a lot more Americans. If ever a candidate needed a front porch campaign, it is Barrack Obama.

As the "I ain't gonna vote at all!" group gets larger and larger the chances of Democrats of gaining seats in the senate and retaining control of the house grow slimmer and slimmer. Those white working class Democrats that go to the polls and vote for McCain will likely vote for their Democrat candidates for the house and senate. But the ones that don't vote for McCain are not likely to vote at all. And that is bad news for the Democrats. 30 years of being a certain Democratic voter, does not mean they will vote this year.

As we get closer and closer to the election the more the word will break that a significant number of Hillary Democrats are voting for McCain. Hillary will of course support Obama. She and Bill will campaign for him in states where he can't lose and do nothing for him in states where he could almost win.

Hillary has her eyes set on 2012.

But 2008 will have the largest contingent of first time swing voters in history. In many respects it may resemble the Nixon win in 1968. It was then that the solid Democratic South started down the road to become the solid Republican South. This year may be the start of the changing of 7 or 8 battleground states into solid Republican states.

If we go from approximately 17 Republican states, 16 Democrat states and 17 battleground states, to 23 Republican states, to 16 Democrat states and 11 battleground states, it may be next to impossible for a Democrat to win the presidency again for decades.

If the Democrats loses the presidency this year like everything says they will., and they nominate Hillary in 2012, and she will certainly lose, that may very well be enough to put the Democrats where the Republicans were in the 1930s and 1940s.

They keep telling us that the 3 special congressional elections that Democrats recently won, are a harbinger of this falls election. But it will not be.. This fall the Democrats will have Obama as the presidential candidate. That is burden few Democratic candidates will be able to bear.